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The State of the Trade

David Cervantes's avatar
David Cervantes
Dec 18, 2023
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There are two sets of vertical waterfalls that have massive implications for the forward pricing of all financial assets.

  • A collapse in real yields

  • A collapse in credit spreads

Real yields had a waterfall moment last week.  Down 18bps in one day, if one wants to be precise.  Or bonkers.

This development more than any other has knock-on effects across the entire universe of risk assets.

Have a look at credit spreads.

  • Credit spreads across the ratings spectrum are now below their 2021 – 2023 averages.

  • Credit spreads are at levels not seen since 2021.

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